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19 Mar 2014
Flash: Adding Long USDJPY into FOMC - Nomura
FXStreet (Bali) - Nomura Market Research Team looks to add longs USD/JPY spot exposure ahead of the FOMC, saying that US weaker data is now priced in to some degree and the risk-reward for USD
may be skewed towards USD gains going into this week's FOMC.
Key Quotes
"We are not ready to get back into long USD trades on a broad basis, but we continue to hold the view that USDJPY is finding a bottom. We expressed this view on 4 March by buying 100 no-touch options structures."
"At this point, we look to add long USDJPY spot exposure (current: 101.75) of $10m in our model portfolio, setting a stop at 100.00."
"The risk to this view is a further escalation of tensions around Ukraine, and we will look to President Putin‟s speech on Tuesday morning for clues about further steps in the conflict."
"However, our central case is that a dramatic escalation, involving outright military confrontation, and/or much more severe sanctions will be averted for the time being and we want to be involved in long USDJPY going into FOMC."
may be skewed towards USD gains going into this week's FOMC.
Key Quotes
"We are not ready to get back into long USD trades on a broad basis, but we continue to hold the view that USDJPY is finding a bottom. We expressed this view on 4 March by buying 100 no-touch options structures."
"At this point, we look to add long USDJPY spot exposure (current: 101.75) of $10m in our model portfolio, setting a stop at 100.00."
"The risk to this view is a further escalation of tensions around Ukraine, and we will look to President Putin‟s speech on Tuesday morning for clues about further steps in the conflict."
"However, our central case is that a dramatic escalation, involving outright military confrontation, and/or much more severe sanctions will be averted for the time being and we want to be involved in long USDJPY going into FOMC."